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This posting is provided "AS IS" with no warranties, and confers no rights. The opinions expressed within are my own and should not be attributed to any other Individual, Company or the one I work for. I just happen to be a classic techie who is passionate about getting things to work as they should do (and are sometimes advertised and marketed as being able to?) and when I can I drop notes here to help others falling in to the same traps that I have fallen in to. If this has helped then please pass it on - if you feel that I have commented in error or disagree then please feel free to discuss with me either publically or privately? Cheers, Dave
Thin Clients, VDI and Linux integration from the front lines.... Raw and sometimes unedited notes based on my experiences with VMware, Thin Clients, Linux etc.
On the back of my comments about Citrix and it's competitors, it was interesting to unearth this little gem about the Software companies from the viewpoint of a developer....
 
Oracle and SAP say that enterprise software is boiling down to three or four vendors. Why bother with all of the moving parts, they ask, while citing industry statistics that make it sound inevitable. I'm placing my bet on the other end of the spectrum. The next few years will see the rise and fall of technology empires and will be the most exciting years the industry has ever seen.

The bubble years of 1999 through 2001 focused on start ups and IPOs. The bubble bust years of 2002 through 2005 pushed the pendulum to the other end of the spectrum, favoring the software mega-caps like Microsoft, IBM, Oracle and SAP. In 2006 we see the pendulum coming back to the center, with vendors like Apple, Adobe, BEA, Business Objects, Red Hat, Salesforce and others benefiting from focus, not breadth. This ebb and flow will always be the case in the technology industry.

While tech investment, spending and stock prices have been lackluster for the last few years, the train of innovation continues. This will carry on the decades long tradition of technology disruption and upheaval that will inevitably replace today's 600 pound Gorillas with a new generation of leaders.

For example, the way we interact with applications will continue to evolve in 2006. While Web applications have been the story of the last decade, the interaction model was a huge step backwards from the rich client. We take it for granted, but if you think about it, a browser displaying HTML makes a lousy user interface.

2006 is going to see some real progress in the march towards rich Internet applications; the best of client/server and Web applications combined. New standards and frameworks like Java Service Faces, AJAX, Avalon and portal products will clash, combine and give birth to the next generation user interface. Adobe's acquisition of Macromedia and what they do with Flash, Flex and PDF is another one to watch.

Just when you think it's exclusively a Windows world, Macintosh comes back with a vengeance. While coffee shops, schools and design shops have been their traditional domain, I'm now seeing them toted around en mass. A CIO of a large company recently told me that she is considering a full swap out of Windows desktops for Macintoshes. Combining this with the recent partnership with Intel and the iPod phenomena that places Apple squarely in the eye of the digital entertainment tornado makes it clear that they have successfully redefined the rules of the desktop computing market.

Read more at Eric Stahl's Blog

Posted on Sunday, January 22, 2006 6:22 PM Citrix , Exchange and Push Email , IT Management , Real Cool Stuff , Microsoft Tips , VMware and other Virtualization tools | Back to top


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